Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.288698 3.539811 3.811479 4.129148 4.492921 4.899556 5.392902
2025-12-07 2.850988 3.174122 3.544531 4.006791 4.577494 5.272185 6.203788
2025-12-14 2.568164 2.915556 3.327562 3.862644 4.555866 5.449653 6.737838
2025-12-21 2.418825 2.792071 3.247961 3.861394 4.692118 5.823817 7.578000
2025-12-28 2.288453 2.676419 3.161531 3.833437 4.777846 6.127674 8.364297
2026-01-04 2.141236 2.526899 3.017033 3.709900 4.710303 6.192149 8.778043
2026-01-11 2.057162 2.451711 2.962200 3.700527 4.799813 6.497865 9.654870
2026-01-18 2.013227 2.424967 2.968175 3.773951 5.016113 7.031274 11.081235
2026-01-25 2.121464 2.606430 3.270200 4.304311 6.013968 9.091483 16.502305
2026-02-01 1.996069 2.460464 3.100020 4.104831 5.786700 8.872808 16.576714
2026-02-08 1.874372 2.314741 2.923322 3.884038 5.503468 8.508014 16.168689
2026-02-15 1.815722 2.254689 2.867662 3.849250 5.539562 8.784063 17.631105
2026-02-22 1.751123 2.190277 2.811985 3.826811 5.625922 9.247743 20.159321
2026-03-01 1.665696 2.093243 2.703964 3.713532 5.538597 9.335440 21.641881
2026-03-08 1.584589 1.998374 2.593449 3.586665 5.409374 9.300597 22.695860
2026-03-15 1.541503 1.956308 2.560100 3.585509 5.519816 9.854620 26.686717
2026-03-22 1.496280 1.908838 2.515432 3.560764 5.579730 10.302681 30.891559
2026-03-29 1.434699 1.834747 2.425731 3.451232 5.454401 10.239900 32.397263
2026-04-05 1.400270 1.799527 2.394994 3.442910 5.538030 10.769531 38.516657
2026-04-12 1.384162 1.790805 2.405292 3.508055 5.786789 11.859757 52.286929
2026-04-19 1.448314 1.906302 2.622290 3.975804 7.040655 16.992678 208.685320
2026-04-26 1.385475 1.823303 2.507557 3.800444 6.725394 16.203517 195.787933
2026-05-03 1.321637 1.737281 2.385372 3.605550 6.348155 15.103910 163.227849